Tuesday 26 November 2013

Kofi Bentil got it wrong on the EPAs

Kofi Bentil makes a very intriguing point about the so-called Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) between Ghana and the European Union.

Bentil’s argument for signing the EPA is that we have no better option.

But this is simply not true.

We can meet the needs of the very few – five or so – exporters who will suffer distress by not signing the EPAs from the huge savings Ghana will make by not signing.

It will cost the exporters of banana, processed cocoa products and tuna a total of US$52 million annually in extra duties if we don’t sign. However, if we don’t sign, it will save the Ghanaian treasury a minimum of US$150 million (according to MOTI figures) or US$374 million (according to the#UNECA/South Centre) each year, which we could otherwise have lost in tariff revenue by signing.

Some of the savings can be used to support the distressed exporters for a period to allow them to diversify their export market.

That way, we will also save our domestic industries from the threat of inevitable collapse that signing the agreement will impose. We will also save the space for applying our own policies which will otherwise be sacrificed by signing the EPAs.

It is true that the EU has become even more single-minded in pursuit of its agenda for the deregulation of services, investment and government procurement, together with restrictive disciplines in IP and so forth – with the aim of obtaining free, unrestricted access for European investors to all sectors of Africa’s economies.

As to the thing about the EPAs being the result of failure of leadership and strategic thinking, that may be so, but we cannot punish the ordinary, hardworking people, producers, etc for the selfishness and irresponsibility of their leaders.

And nobody, as far as I am aware, has blamed colonialism for anything relating to the EPAs. The argument rather is that if we sign the EPAs in its current form, we will be returning our economy to what it was in colonial times/Guggisburg colonial economy – simple exporters of raw/bulk primary products in exchange for manufactured goods. i.e. Mere hewers of wood and drawers of water for the benefit of others in the international economic order.

Bentil doesn't seem to realize that the EPAs will take apart every attempt at regional integration in the sub-region. The ECOWAS region is a critical market for Ghanaian (and for that matter Nigerian, Ivorian and other West African) exporters of manufactured products and services. In effect, a full-blown EPA will sink Ghana’s attempts and future efforts at industrialization which really is a critical piece in moving this country into a meaningful middle income global player.

Even studies by the World Bank, apostles of liberalisation as we know them, have warned ECOWAS of the dire consequences of opening up their market by more than 60% in a free trade agreement. Under the EPAs Ghana will open its market by 75 %.

What Bentil doesn't also appear to get is that the EPA is a lock-in agreement, secured by a lock-in mechanism. At its barest, this means that if Ghana, for whatever reason, decides to offer better terms (than the EPA) to another country or bloc of countries, it will have to extend same to the EU. 

By the way, whatever meaningful leverage Ghana ever had to deal with such restrictive free trade agreements as the EPAs were whittled away under the structural adjustment programmes of the 1980s and 1990s and under HIPC/PRSP clan.