Twists in the succession plot as Ghanaians mourn Mills

As the country mourns the passing of its President, John Evans Fiifi Atta Mills, Ghanaians are enamoured with the kind words, sympathies, and deep admiration for Ghana and Ghanaians expressed by millions around the world especially from the streets of other African countries.

A couple of comments on Kenya’s leading daily, the Daily Nation sums up the heartfelt sentiments:

Kinoti Kithuri wrote: What else would a nation ask for then a peaceful rest of their president and peaceful respectful transition to a new president as a means of better period of mourning. May God be your peace, Ghana.

Faboge also wrote: Lovely country, people and a nation of good governance, Africa mourns the loss of your democrat.

Let’s focus on a much narrower but critical subject: Who takes over as vice president to President Mahama as the ruling party heads for the December presidential and parliamentary elections.

Whoever gets anointed has to serve with the new president the remaining term of President Mills as well as be able to assist Mahama to retain the presidency at the December polls. At least that will be the aim of the party.

Since the president’s death a tall list has emerged of potential vice presidents to President John Mahama. Some of the names are downright ridiculous and I can’t imagine why anyone would suggest such candidates. Some suggested names clearly have the talent but not the temperament. Others also have the temperament but not the brains. Another set combine both the right temperament and the talent and I think it is from this last group that the country and the new president will be better served to pick from.

The NDC is clearly not short of brilliant brains and hands to couple the new president to run the country even more efficiently and professionally following the untimely death of Mills.

Here is my take on three of the many potential veeps to President Mahama.

Let me start by pointing out a few issues that won’t inform President Mahama’s choice of vice president albeit in ordinary times these same issues would have been critical: religious beliefs of the candidate and the freshness of the person to party politics.

The religious beliefs of the person won’t be an issue not least because both president Mills and president Mahama were Christians and that caused no problems for them – be it in the 2008 campaigns or in office but also the freshness of the person to party politics.

Given the closeness of the December general elections, Mahama and the NDC are unlikely to go for a truly fresh face/talent or a highly polarizing figure. He is hardly erratic but I won’t be surprised if Mahama decides to pleasantly surprise most Ghanaians by tapping a fairly neutral but popular and widely respected and accomplished academic such as Prof. Kofi Sefah-Dedeh who has been central in the delivery of some of the most strategic tangible achievements of Mills’ “Better Ghana Agenda”.

 

Hannah Tetteh

Current Minister of Trade and Industry and former MP.

Hannah Tetteh

Strengths:

·         Her gender is a big asset. This is no tokenism. Ghanaian women have been central to the country’s political process and yet not one has had a decent shot at the top two jobs in the country. Could this be the time?

·         Excellent grasp of issues along with her law background;

·         Rated as one of the few high performing of Mills’ appointees;

·         Good relations with the business class;

·         Good inter-personal skills;

·         Love for made-in-Ghana products especially clothing;

·         Former MP and experienced legislature with contacts across the political divide;

·         From late president’s region.

Weaknesses:

·         Can be dismissive sometimes

·         A shade to the right of politics away from the centre-left that Mahama leans to (and the NDC claims to stand for)

Dr. Kwesi Botchwey

An advisor to late President Mills and member of his economic team

Kwesi Botchwey

Strengths:

·         Pragmatist;

·         Steady and experienced economic hand;

·         Excellent grasp of issues and a hard hitter, politically-speaking;

·         Academic with good networks;

·         Articulate, friendly and a great communicator;

·         Hails from late president’s home region;

·         Has been influential in Mills’ stabilization of the economy.

Weakness:

·         His central role in PNDC/NDC governments may arm the opposition against the NDC;

·         Perceived to be too cozy with Western multinationals and IFIs; &

·         Long absence from frontline domestic politics.

PV Obeng

Currently chairman of the National Development Planning Commission and advisor to late President Mills.

PV Obeng

Strengths:

·         Still close to the Rawlingses and could work to bring them back on board

·         Big brain, intelligent & excellent grasp of issues and politics

·         At ease with the big picture issues and tiny details too and comfortable in the limelight

·         Technocrat and strategically minded

·         Business savvy and would be loved especially by the top tier of the business elite and international investors

·         Experienced in governance at the highest level as the de facto Prime Minister under the Rawlings military regime

·         Friendly and articulate and charismatic

Weaknesses:

·         Tainted past: The Commission on Human Rights and Administrative Justice (CHRAJ) investigated him extensively in the 1990s although found insufficient incriminating evidence to recommend his prosecution

·         Hails from Ashanti Region, the World Bank of the leading opposition party, NPP now led by Nana Akuffo Addo, a very formidable candidate. The NDC can’t expect to gain so many votes in Ashanti to negate the votes it could lose in the Central and Western Regions if it chooses PV.

Other names that have come up are: Goosie Tanoh; Ekwow Spio Garbrah; Ofosu Ampofo, Mike Hammah, Alban Bagbin, Kwesi Ahwoi and Kwabena Duffour.

These are all great talents but the time is rather short in my opinion to gamble on any of these. Point is there are issues around every one of these guys that requires some ironing out and the five months to the elections is too short to deal with some of the issues within the party first and then communicate sufficiently and convincingly to Ghanaian voters.

Finally, my pick will be Hannah Tetteh first and Botchwey second. “A+” rated in the President Mills’ cabinet, she is a good campaigner besides her other strengths I’ve listed above. She is beautiful in a non aggressive way. Contrast her with out of favour former A-G and Minister of Justice, Betty Mould Iddrisu (and Nana Rawlings) and you get what I mean.

 

True Hannah can be boring when she chooses to, but let’s face it Ghanaians care less about that for as long as the person can deliver. Check out President Kufuor, President Mills and even the new head of state, President Mahama. They all have/had this stiff upper lip and are largely uncharismatic but a good section of Ghanaians love/loved them.

Will Hannah get the nod? I’m not sure! Botchwey? Umm yep because he is a much more formidable candidate.